Table Of Content
- Supreme Court majority leans in favor of limited immunity for Trump as an ex-president
- Special elections
- In the race for Rep. Michelle Steel’s seat, how abortion is shaping up to be a key issue
- U.S. House, ME-2, 2024, Republican primary
- Donald Trump wins Alaska Republican primary
- California House Primary Results 2024
Four of the 34 seats up for election in 2022 changed party control the last time they were up for election. Incumbent Sen. Richard Burr (R)—who first took office in 2005—did not seek re-election, which made this an open seat race. In 2020, incumbent Sen. Thom Tillis (R) defeated Cal Cunningham (D), 49% to 47%.
Supreme Court majority leans in favor of limited immunity for Trump as an ex-president
The generic congressional vote question does not mention specific candidates. In Pennsylvania's 2018 senate race, incumbent Bob Casey Jr. (D) defeated Lou Barletta (R) 56% to 43%. In 2016, Toomey won re-election against Katie McGinty (D) 49% to 47%. The 2016 and 2020 presidential elections in Pennsylvania were decided by less than 2 percentage points. Pennsylvania was one of two states in 2022, along with Wisconsin, where Republicans defended a seat in a state that Joe Biden (D) won in 2020. The three candidates advanced from the top-four primary held on August 16, 2022, the first time Alaska used such a system in a Senate race since voters there approved it in 2020.
Special elections
Last cycle, we came just one seat short of perfectly predicting the final number of seats each party would win. In addition to benefitting from a bit of good luck, our forecast succeeded because it was relentlessly tested on 2,000 Congressional elections held since 2010 to ensure it was as accurate as possible. We worked hard to ensure it had as little bias towards either party as possible. Despite running tests in a decade with two historic polling misses, it only had a 0.13% bias towards Democrats on average when projecting the final margin of victory in each race.
In the race for Rep. Michelle Steel’s seat, how abortion is shaping up to be a key issue
In 2016, Hassan defeated Ayotte by 0.1 percentage points. Incumbent Maggie Hassan (D) defeated Don Bolduc (R) and Jeremy Kauffman (L) in the general election for U.S. Incumbent U.S. Sen. Catherine Cortez Masto (D) defeated former state Attorney General Adam Laxalt (R) and three others in the general election for U.S. Incumbent Sen. Lisa Murkowski (R) defeated Kelly Tshibaka (R), and Patricia Chesbro (D) in the general election for U.S.
Pa. primary election results: U.S. House, attorney general, treasurer - 90.5 WESA
Pa. primary election results: U.S. House, attorney general, treasurer.
Posted: Tue, 23 Apr 2024 06:00:00 GMT [source]
U.S. House, ME-2, 2024, Republican primary
Freshman Republican Rep. John Duarte won this San Joaquin Valley district by a mere 564 votes in 2022, making it one of the closest races of the midterm elections. This time, Democratic State Assemblyman Adam Gray is eyeing a rematch and hoping to flip it, with his party seeing it as a prime pickup opportunity. LOS ANGELES — This fall, California is widely expected to deliver its 54 electoral votes to Joe Biden and elect a new Democratic senator. But the state is also hosting a series of hotly contested House races that could tip the battle for the control of the chamber — and make or break the president’s agenda over the next two years. It's also because of the continued shift with college-educated white voters toward Democrats.
Since Mr. Biden delivered his State of the Union address in early March, a series of polls — including one from The New York Times and the Siena College Research Institute released in mid-April — has shown him narrowing Mr. Trump’s advantage. The current 2024 House ratings from Split Ticket, a nonpartisan political content and mapping site. Use this as a starting point to create and share your own 2024 House forecast. These maps reflect the ratings of a number of quantitative and qualitative forecasters, as well as some consensus projections. Click or tap any of the thumbnails for an interactive version that you can use to create and share your own 2024 House forecast. Data for FiveThirtyEight's previous favorability, presidential approval and national 2024 Republican primary averages is available for download here.
They condemned Biden for his support of Israel’s military campaign and Western news outlets for what they said was undercoverage and misrepresentation of the conflict. An election-year roast of President Joe Biden before journalists, celebrities and politicians at the annual White House correspondents’ dinner on Saturday butted up against growing public discord over the Israel-Hamas war. The ‘double-haters.’ Why apathy is a common sentiment among voters.
Biden tells Howard Stern he’s ‘happy to debate’ Trump
Within the closely divided states, the sliver of the electorate who remain uncertain about which candidate they will vote for — or whether they’ll vote at all — will be critical to the outcome. Anita Chabria and David Lauter bring insights into legislation, politics and policy from California and beyond. You may occasionally receive promotional content from the Los Angeles Times. House candidates Democrat Adam Gray’s and Republican John Duarte’s stances on abortion, the Jan. 6 Capitol riot, inflation, other issues. The district had low Democratic turnout in 2022 but favored Biden by 11 points in 2020, according to data from California Target Book.
California House Primary Results 2024
Kelly Daughtry is a Republican Party candidate for office. Sam Liccardo is a Democratic Party candidate for office. Austin L. Theriault is a Republican Party candidate for office. The 2024 election is primed to be one of the defining moments of the early 21st century for the United States, as both parties have an unusually strong chance at winning a Trifecta.
In 2016, candidates other than Trump and Hillary Clinton took 5.6% of the vote, with most of that going to Libertarian candidate Gary Johnson and the Green Party’s Jill Stein. In three swing states, Stein’s total exceeded Trump’s margin. Polls, pollsters and pundits disagree about how much support Kennedy has — or even which candidate he potentially would hurt more. Most voters said a conviction would not influence their vote. But a sizable minority — including 5% of Trump voters — said they would be less likely to vote for Trump if he is found guilty. Wasserman stressed that there were still open questions about the strength of Biden’s support among Latino voters.
A scenario where Trump manages to make inroads with those voters would favor Duarte, Wasserman said. Democrats and Republicans are virtually tied in registration numbers, with Republicans recently taking on a several thousand-voter advantage, as of early April. Trump won the district in 2020 by a little more than one percentage point, according to data from California Target Book. Calvert has a history of voting against LGBTQ+ rights, as The Times has previously reported, but said during the 2022 campaign that his views had since evolved. That record will almost certainly come under fire in the Coachella Valley as he faces off against Rollins, a gay man who lives with his partner in Palm Springs.
For any questions on the House Forecast, email RacetotheWH founder Logan Phillips at The section below provides generic congressional polling averages over time from RealClearPolitics. The generic congressional vote rating indicates which political party voters support in a congressional election.
Among those seats, 10 are currently held by Democrats and 12 are held by Republicans. California, the nation's most populous state has 52 representatives. Wyoming, which has the smallest population has only one representative. Other states with just one representative include Alaska, North Dakota, South Dakota, Vermont, and Delaware. This story has been updated with the correct name of the representative for Louisiana's 5th district.
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